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Hi for a small little research for school i need some different opinions on a few different questions. If you could answer these questions i would really appreciate it.

How far do you think machine learning will be able to progress, do you see development hitting a wall in the future?

Do you think machine learning in it's current state is already able to replace simple jobs? If not how long do you think it will take?

How will machine learning affect jobs? Do you see machine learning and AI taking over jobs like programming in the future or do you think it will create more jobs than it destroys?

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  • $\begingroup$ This is a research based site for scientists,engineers...However,we don't give here opinions but rather facts judged by resource work. $\endgroup$ – quintumnia May 27 '18 at 10:24
  • $\begingroup$ Well, maybe something like r/MachineLearning/ is more suitable for an opinion based QA. But don't give up on SE as well, get back with other questions! $\endgroup$ – werediver May 27 '18 at 10:43
  • $\begingroup$ Welcome to AI.SE, your question has a wide spectrum of opinionated answers even from experts in the field, as we don't understand AI/ML fully, for your research I suggest you search and look at different blogs and write opinions given by experts like pat winston, stuart russel elon musk, andrew ng, ian goodfellow, geoffrey hinton, noam chomsky, etc....you can understand mixing all these opinions and posting an answer will be too lengthy...hope this helps! $\endgroup$ – DuttaA May 27 '18 at 11:28
  • $\begingroup$ "How far do you think machine learning will be able to progress, do you see development hitting a wall in the future?" There might be another period of plateau, where progress slows, but I definitely don't see AI hitting a wall because 1. computers continue to get more powerful 2. quantum computing is coming 3. human ingenuity is a major factor the recent successes, which involve increasing algorithmic sophistication 4. machine learning means algorithms are kind of writing themselves now $\endgroup$ – DukeZhou Jun 1 '18 at 21:35
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From a technical point of view, it is possible that the AI Singularity will replace lots of jobs, for example in the automotive industry, in the hospital, or in the service-sector. For example, a self-driving car needs no longer a driver, and with car-sharing the total amount of cars is lower. If all the technology is used in practice, the world will change massive. But, a short look back in the history of engineering shows us, that even if technology is available it will not be used. For example, the printing press was known in the 1300 century, and it took 200 years until Gutenberg used the device for printing a bible. And the electric car was invented in the 19th century, and even today there are no gas-stations available for them. That means, the technological potential of machine learning will be delayed by at least 100 years. You, I and most of the users here in the forum will not experience an uprising of the machines. With a huge amount of techno-optimism it is possible to imagine, that in 50 years we will see robots who are able to cook fast-food in a restaurant with supervision of a human-operator.

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"How far do you think machine learning will be able to progress, do you see development hitting a wall in the future?"

There might be another period of plateau, where progress slows, but I definitely don't see AI hitting a wall because 1. computers continue to get more powerful 2. quantum computing is coming 3. human ingenuity is a major factor the recent successes, which involve increasing algorithmic sophistication 4. machine learning means algorithms are kind of writing themselves now... This process is likely to accelerate, like all technology.

Do you think machine learning in it's current state is already able to replace simple jobs? If not how long do you think it will take?

Not just now, but automation has been replacing jobs since the beginning of the industrial revolution. This condition led to neo-luddism. There was a report out of Oxford University from I think 2013 (I will link when I find it) predicting something like 40-50% persistent, long-term unemployment due to impending capabilities of contemporary AI.

"How will machine learning affect jobs? Do you see machine learning and AI taking over jobs like programming in the future or do you think it will create more jobs than it destroys?"

Automation doesn't just replace jobs, but also can lead to new jobs. Instead of working the assembly line, the humans now maintain the robots. Because Neural Networks are a bit of a black box (we have no idea what they're "thinking") it's possible there could be a whole new class of human jobs evaluating Neural Network performance, and even overseeing them in some way as a safeguard. There are probably lists out there of the type of in danger or being replaced. (I'll link if I find any:)

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