Oxford philosopher and leading AI thinker Nick Bostrom defines SuperIntelligence as

"An intellect that is much smarter than the best human brains in practically every field, including scientific creativity, general wisdom and social skills."

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Artificial general intelligence : Wiki

Taking into account current limitations and the amount of progress that has been made in recent years, what is a realistic timeframe to expect an AI that has human levels of cognition?

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    $\begingroup$ What is your question? This is not really a discussion forum, but a Q&A site. $\endgroup$ – Oliver Mason Jun 18 '18 at 7:57
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    $\begingroup$ @OliverMason If the op talks about light years,then by all means we're wasting our time here.However,the op should get the difference between the three key aspects here for instance; Artificial Narrow Intelligence,Artificial Super Intelligence and Artificial General Intelligence.So lets expect some revision in the question,for effective feedback. $\endgroup$ – quintumnia Jun 18 '18 at 9:07
  • $\begingroup$ I think OP should include the question in the body instead of the title. $\endgroup$ – DuttaA Jun 18 '18 at 9:28
  • $\begingroup$ Thanks for your feedback's folks. I'm a toddler in AI, trying to understand the feasibility of attaining the cognitive ability of human in any means through advancement in the field of AI. $\endgroup$ – Surya Sg Jun 18 '18 at 11:28
  • $\begingroup$ @DuttaA Is the question about artificial super intelligence or artificial general intelligence? Give the world some hints here,to avoid misconceptions nor assumptions. $\endgroup$ – quintumnia Jun 18 '18 at 20:03

If certain philosophers are correct, Artificial General Intelligence will be, like fusion power, "always twenty years away". For the true believers, it is an inevitability, and opinions vary.

It may be most useful to look at the unreliability human predictions in this area.

There was an article in the MIT Tech Review in 2017 that contained this graphic, based on a survey of researchers in 2015:

enter image description here
SOURCE: Experts Predict When Artificial Intelligence Will Exceed Human Performance (MIT Tech Review)

Most notable is that AlphaGo soundly bested the top human player in Go in March of 2016, years before even the most optimistic expert projections.

  • Everyone is just guessing, and we still don't if AGI is possible, or merely a myth.

Nevertheless, recent breakthroughs are promising!

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  • $\begingroup$ Captain,the question is talking about artificial super intelligence,or its me who's not analyzing it carefully. Can we have a little bit of a glimpse concerning AGI and ASI! $\endgroup$ – quintumnia Jun 18 '18 at 20:01
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    $\begingroup$ @quintumnia in this graph, "High Level Machine Intelligence (All Human Tasks)" would represent basic, human-level AGI. $\endgroup$ – DukeZhou Jun 18 '18 at 20:08

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