Questions tagged [probability-theory]

For questions related to probability theory in the context of artificial intelligence.

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How would the probability of a document $P(d)$ be computed in the Naive Bayes classifier?

In naive Bayes classification, we estimate the class of a document as follows $$\hat{c} = \arg \max_{c \in C} P(c \mid d) = \arg \max_{c \in C} \dfrac{ P(d \mid c)P(c) }{P(d)} $$ It has been said in ...
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Why is the equation $\mathbb{E} \left[ (Y - \hat{Y})^2 \right] = \left(f(X) - \hat{f}(X) \right)^2 + \operatorname{Var} (\epsilon)$ true?

In the book An Introduction to Statistical Learning, the authors claim (equation 2.3, p. 19, chapter 2) $$\mathbb{E} \left[ (Y - \hat{Y})^2 \right] = \left(f(X) - \hat{f}(X) \right)^2 + \operatorname{...
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Bayesian Perceptron: Why to marginalize over neuron's output instead of it's weights?

I found a very interesting paper on the internet that tries to apply Bayesian inference with a gradient-free online-learning approach: Bayesian Perceptron: Towards fully Bayesian Neural Networks. I ...
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How can the V and Q functions take the expectation over a sum where the number of summands is random?

Assume the existence of a Markov Decision Process consisting of: State space $S$ Action space $A$ Transition model $T: S \times A \times S \to [0,1]$ Reward function $R: S \times A \times S \to \...
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Why is the equation $r(s', a, s') =\sum_{r \in \mathcal{R}} r \frac{p\left(s^{\prime}, r \mid s, a\right)}{p\left(s^{\prime} \mid s, a\right)}$true?

I am referring to eq. 3.6 (page 49) based on Sutton's online book and can be found in an image below. I could not make sense of the final derivation of the equation $r(s, a, s')$. My question is ...